Prediction of Sara Bejlek vs Mina Hodzic at Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca 10-07-25

• In recent play, Sara Bejlek exhibits superior second serve points winning efficiency, achieving 42.53% compared to Mina Hodzic's 35.16%.
• Mina Hodzic marginally trails again in return game stats, winning 50.88% of her opponent's second serve points, against Sara Bejlek, who scores 51.69%. Could this small advantage be significant?
• Sara Bejlek also leads in returning first serves, with a 39.28% success rate, which is considerably higher than Mina Hodzic's 34.98%.
• Under breakpoint pressure, Mina Hodzic slightly outperforms Sara Bejlek, saving 45.37% compared to Bejlek's 44.59%.
• Over the past year, Sara Bejlek boasts a higher match win rate at 67.27%, with Mina Hodzic at 61.11%. Who shows a stronger trend?
• Both players perform best on Clay, each sporting a 60% win rate. However, Mina Hodzic has struggled on Grass with no wins, while Sara Bejlek has won 20% of her matches on this surface.
• Match level varies as well. Mina Hodzic predominantly competes at the Futures/ITF $10K level, boasting a 75.56% win rate, while Sara Bejlek competes at the higher Challenger/ITF >$10K level, with a 67.57% win rate.
• Analyzing opponent quality, Mina Hodzic primarily faces opponents ranked 381.4 on average, while Sara Bejlek's opponents rank significantly higher at 171.09.
• If a match progresses to a deciding set, Mina Hodzic historically has the edge, winning 58% of such sets to Sara Bejlek’s 50%.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

When evaluating the recent form and statistical trends, Sara Bejlek consistently exhibits an edge, particularly with her second serve and return game proficiency. These are critical components that could dictate the outcome of this match.

While Mina Hodzic displays resilience under breakpoint pressure, her overall performance throughout the year and against higher-ranked opponents has not matched Sara Bejlek's effectiveness, especially on similar surfaces.

Taking into account the level of tournaments each player frequents and their performance against varying opposition, Sara Bejlek has demonstrated stronger all-around performance metrics.

Therefore, based on these comprehensive statistics, Sara Bejlek is the likely candidate to secure a victory in the upcoming match.